RealityTrader Trading Log

Monday, March 9, 2009

Mar 09 2009

Lacklustre start of the day turned into much better performance with 50 cents profit on WFC long, 30 cents on CAT short and 20-30 cents on RIMM short. Not a groundshaking but fair day overall.

Session Time: Mon Mar 09 00:00:00 2009

[08:02] {nemo} anybody home?
[08:08] {Threei}  Good morning
[08:08] {dptl} good morning
[08:09] {Threei}  dp :)
[08:09] {nemo} likewise
[08:09] {Threei}  nemo :)
[08:10] {Threei}  WARREN BUFFET: TOXIC ASSETS HELD BY BANKS HAVE VERY GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RICH RETURNS IF THEIR CURRENT VALUATION IS BASED ON MARK TO MARKET
[08:11] {nemo} Yeah, and you can get a great high from heroin.
[08:12] {Threei}  dp, look dcc pls
[08:12] {nemo} Interesting though, the commentary on mark to market coming from him.  Harbinger?
[08:13] {Threei}  - Does not believe that the banks' problems come from toxic assets
[08:15] {nemo} Mmmmhhh...we hit the mark of the beast on the S&P Friday, and we're sitting at the Battle of Hastings on the Nasdaq 100
[08:22] {Threei}  - "I'd rather buy a bank's toxic assts than their good assets, if they are marked to market, since they're so cheap."
[08:22] {Threei}  - Notes he still favors mark-to-market accounting
[08:23] {nemo} I guess he's betting on historical default rates?
[08:26] {Threei}  PALM
[08:26] {Threei}  REGISTERS 18.5M SHARES ON BEHALF OF THE COMPANT AND SELLING SHAREHOLDERS - FILING
[08:27] {Threei}  - Feels that the 'uptick rule' is a good idea
[08:27] {nemo} who, Buffet?
[08:29] {Threei}  yes
[08:29] {Threei}  it's a continuating comments by him coming to wire as he talks
[08:29] {Threei}  continuing
[08:29] {nemo} what, is he on CNBC?
[08:29] {dptl} yes
[08:39] {nemo} another cheery picture painted by the futures
[08:40] {Threei}  it's not like we ended bear market this weekend {G}
[08:41] {nemo} thank you Captain O
[08:41] {Threei}  you started it
[08:41] {Threei}  I just defend my title
[08:42] {nemo} Not, how do you say, eqkzaktly....I was reporting the current state.
[08:49] {nemo} What are you watching this morning Capn'?
[08:49] {Threei}  usual suspects plus GERN
[08:50] {nemo} yeah, have GERN up.
[08:56] {Onix} Good morning all :)
[08:56] {Threei}  onix :)
[08:56] {nemo} onix :)
[08:57] {Threei}  canucks, for you:
[08:58] {Threei}  BREAKS ABOVE 1.3020 LEVEL FOR FRESH MULTI-YEAR HIGHS - DEALERS
[08:58] {Threei}  USD/CAD
[08:58] {cosmo} STEM:  Stem-Cell Research Revivalat Forbes.com(Fri, Mar 6
[08:59] {Threei}  I don't believe in STEM
[08:59] {Threei}  or ASTM
[08:59] {cosmo} continuation it seems
[08:59] {Threei}  GERN has a chance to be around
[08:59] {Threei}  those two, not so much
[09:01] {cosmo} and if they get bot out     ?
[09:02] {dino} gm all
[09:02] {cosmo} agree
[09:03] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:04] {Threei}  I am not sure there is something to buy out i them
[09:04] {Threei}  in
[09:04] {cosmo} petri dishes?
[09:05] {Threei}  if that's all they have to offer, shareholders won't get much benefit from buyout :)
[09:05] {dawg} gm all
[09:05] {Threei}  dawg :)
[09:06] {ese} morning
[09:06] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:06] {nemo} ese :)
[09:06] {nemo} dawg :)
[09:09] {Threei}  be back in 5
[09:13] {vint} good morning 
[09:14] {Threei}  vint :)
[09:15] {magoo} morning
[09:17] {Threei}  magoo :)
[09:18] {magoo} running late
[09:19] {Threei}  didn't really miss anything
[09:19] {nemo} mags :)
[09:19] {Threei}  GERN is lukewarm
[09:19] {Threei}  not much enthusiasm
[09:19] {Threei}  Friday end of day rally has no continuation
[09:20] {Threei}  was nothing but repositioning caused by shorts exiting to avoid any surprize announcement
[09:20] {Threei}  none came so market drifts down
[09:29] {wulff} gern woke up
[09:29] {Threei}  my read on Friday was a bit off so I intend to stay on a conservative side today
[09:30] {nemo} Is your view clouded by the darkside?
[09:31] {Threei}  GERN, fast dive into 4.80 or so to get interested in bounce,
[09:31] {Threei}  ad any bounce is the scalp only
[09:32] {fernp} Hello everybody
[09:32] {Threei}  fern :)
[09:33] {Threei}  get ready
[09:33] {Threei}  .71 long
[09:33] {Threei}  if holding above .60
[09:34] {Threei}  invalidated
[09:35] {Threei}  valida again, same setup
[09:35] {Threei}  for quick fingers only
[09:36] {pita} gm all
[09:36] {Threei}  pita :)
[09:36] {ese} NVDA....
[09:38] {pita} are we in anything?  took me awhile to get system up
[09:38] {Threei} Long Setup:  BRCM  17 break if holding above .85
[09:38] {Threei}  no pita
[09:43] {wulff} like waiting for ice to freeze
[09:43] {cosmo} hmmm
[09:47] {pita} watch list
[09:49] {Threei}  watching for pullback on WFC, GE, USB
[09:50] {wulff} BRCM valid again?
[09:51] {Threei}  yes, same condition
[09:51] {magoo} pretty strong bounce
[09:51] {magoo} mkts'
[09:52] {Threei}  and not much of a pullback
[09:52] {magoo} gern dead vad?
[09:53] {Threei}  pretty much
[09:53] {cosmo} CAT came back
[09:53] {ese} short covering rally for a few days...weeks??
[09:53] {Threei} Long Setup:  PTEN  .33
[09:53] {Threei}  stop under .20
[09:55] {nemo} in
[09:57] {Threei}  stopped
[09:57] {dptl} stopped pten
[09:57] {nemo} out
[09:58] {Threei}  WFC selloff, watching for bounce entry
[10:04] {Threei}  CEDC looks salmonish
[10:05] {Threei}  BRCM 1:1
[10:05] {magoo} out .14 TY
[10:05] {cujo} morning, woke up late :(
[10:06] {Threei}  yeah, I wouldn't stick around too long
[10:06] {Threei}  just a scalp cujo :)
[10:06] {cujo} :)
[10:06] {magoo} was waiting 23..but changed it down
[10:06] {dino} liking the action in aapl off the downgrade
[10:13] {Threei}  FED'S BERNANKE TO ATTEND A BRIEFING WITH PRESIDENT OBAMA LATER TODAY
[10:13] {cosmo} to be followed by a speech no doubt
[10:14] {Threei}  but of course
[10:14] {wulff} cedc
[10:15] {Threei}  nort sure how to play it wulff, a bit too slow
[10:18] {Threei} Long Setup:  GE  .83
[10:18] {Threei}  invalidation under under .70
[10:21] {Threei}  GE turns into bounce scalp
[10:22] {Threei}  closer to .50
[10:22] {Threei}  also, WFC
[10:22] {Threei}  .76 long for a scalp
[10:24] {pita} stop wfc?
[10:24] {fernp} stop under .64 wfc?
[10:24] {Threei}  .65
[10:25] {Threei}  .64 makes sense
[10:25] {geo} morning all... 
[10:25] {Threei}  geo :)
[10:25] {fernp} out
[10:26] {Threei}  deeper pullbacks are needed
[10:26] {cujo} CAT lookin pretty strong vs mkt
[10:27] {cosmo} maybe a new leader...
[10:30] {magoo} .
[10:32] {ese} dino....you watching anything?
[10:32] {ese} my screens not reay showing anything
[10:33] {ese} "really"
[10:34] {pita}  How do I add sound to vad's posts?  anybody?
[10:34] {dino} vz sm l .70, stop .37
[10:35] {Threei}  AAPL
[10:35] {dino} es, nothing capit or euph yet
[10:35] {Threei}  half lot bounce candidate with market bounce
[10:35] {nemo} right click "#floor"  menu should come up and there should be a choice for "beeping" make sure it's turned on
[10:35] {Threei}  not ready yet
[10:35] {dino} vz simply lagging
[10:35] {ese} thats what i thought.....i didn't see anything either
[10:37] {Threei}  RIMM is holding well
[10:37] {Threei}  37 break long if holding above .85
[10:37] {pita} thanks nemo
[10:37] {ese} yup...not dipping with market
[10:37] {Threei}  with market help of course
[10:38] {ese} or shall isay as much
[10:39] {cujo} in RIMM
[10:39] {dino} ice gets approval for cds exchange
[10:40] {pita} in rimm
[10:40] {dino} tap interesting 
[10:40] {Threei}  it's not fresh dino, right?
[10:41] {nemo} is that a tap water joke
[10:42] {Threei}  market has no power here
[10:42] {dino} frfriday 3i, i just saw it
[10:42] {Threei}  got it
[10:43] {dino} tap=molson/coors/miller
[10:43] {dino} made a little on it friday, easy trader
[10:43] {nemo} oy
[10:45] {Threei}  RIMM over 1:1
[10:45] {magoo} out .17 TY\
[10:45] {dino} 27 Trillion market cds, 3i fwiw
[10:46] {dino} t not b
[10:46] {Threei}  yes... I just wonder about market reaction... fairly muted
[10:47] {ese} bstop DRYS .91
[10:47] {Threei}  NFLX... where does this thing gets the audacity to be this strong in such miserable market
[10:47] {dino} yes seeing same, they are first of i don't know how many, but thats a lot of volume coming down the pike
[10:47] {dino} or the "ice" i should say
[10:55] {Threei} Long Setup:  NFLX  .90 half lot if stays above .75
[10:56] {nemo} .90
[10:56] {nemo} .90?
[10:56] {Threei}  ?
[10:57] {nemo} just making sure on NFLX
[10:58] {Threei}  invalidated anyway
[10:59] {ese} pulled bstop on DRYS....
[11:00] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .45
[11:00] {Threei}  if stays above .40
[11:01] {nemo} missed
[11:01] {Threei}  no chasing, just a scalp
[11:03] {Threei}  take profit who got it
[11:03] {Threei}  +.20 with 5-7 cents risk
[11:04] {nemo} nice
[11:07] {Threei}  sharp down AAPL
[11:08] {Threei}  one more leg down mostl likely
[11:09] {Threei}  doesn't feel to me like bounce-ready
[11:09] {nemo} wfc holding pretty well in this downtick
[11:10] {Threei}  yeah, .50 established as support
[11:11] {dino} somebody trip over the plug?
[11:12] {Threei}  WFC worth a try closer to .50
[11:14] {Threei}  USB strengthens too
[11:15] {Threei}  feels to me like WFC wants another run at 10
[11:15] {Threei}  so does USB
[11:16] {magoo} u in either?
[11:17] {Threei}  not at this level... still need pullback, market is not really in a breakout mode
[11:18] {Threei}  pullbacks are well supported and look more like shakouts for later entries
[11:20] {Threei}  in WFC .70
[11:20] {Threei}  stop under .60
[11:22] {dino}  tap sm l .50
[11:28] {Threei}  half out WFC
[11:28] {Threei}  +.14
[11:28] {Threei}  +.13, sorry
[11:28] {fernp} out TY
[11:28] {Threei}  welcome
[11:28] {Threei}  hesitated about USB at .80... too bad, was a nice scalp
[11:29] {Threei}  jkust didn't want to put up two similar plays
[11:29] {Threei}  stop on second half WFC to .65 and will try to exit above .90
[11:30] {magoo} out  .90 lol TY
[11:31] {Threei}  out .94
[11:31] {dawg} out great call Vad ty
[11:31] {Threei}  :)
[11:31] {Threei}  USB near 10 as well
[11:31] {Threei}  grrr
[11:36] {Threei}  I thought of sharing my feel for the market today, then decided against it... you guys will lock me up in mental insitution if I do
[11:37] {Threei}  and rightly so
[11:37] {Threei}  I am actually thinking of going there by my own will
[11:39] {Threei}  but just in case
[11:39] {magoo} ill share mine..and then we roomates in asylum ok?
[11:39] {Threei}  WFC is going to break 10 and go to 10.50 and quite possibly closer to 11
[11:39] {magoo} whole mkt gonna explode up
[11:39] {Threei}  same for USB
[11:40] {Threei}  won't be easy ride by any means
[11:40] {magoo} entry how in your o? as in now or hope for pull
[11:40] {Threei}  let's wait a bit
[11:41] {Threei}  US TREASURY: MORE DETAILS ON TOXIC ASSET PUCHASE PROGRAM TO BE UNVEILED IN COMING WEEKS
[11:41] {Threei}  see, this kind of announcements can undermine any read
[11:41] {Threei}  coming weeks?
[11:41] {Threei}  market barely has patience for days
[11:42] {nemo} Yea no kidding, they should say nothing.
[11:42] {Threei}  anyway...
[11:42] {Threei}  10 break on WFC
[11:42] {Threei}  can take a few tries, as they are likely to shake out
[11:43] {Threei}  another way to play it,
[11:43] {Threei}  get half lot on pullback
[11:43] {Threei}  wazit for 10 break to add second half
[11:44] {Threei}  9.80 is closest support
[11:45] {magoo} in .98
[11:48] {magoo} want more than 1:1
[11:49] {magoo} alert alert
[11:49] {dino} obamination on the tv
[11:49] {magoo} tv obama
[11:49] {Threei}  half WFC out
[11:50] {Threei}  .37
[11:52] {Threei}  offering 1/4 .49
[11:52] {Threei}  stop .95
[11:52] {Threei}  direct hit
[11:52] {magoo} thinking .64 area
[11:53] {Threei}  one thing is for sure now:
[11:53] {Threei}  I do NOT beling to mental institution today
[11:53] {Threei}  belong
[11:53] {geo} ?
[11:53] {cosmo} spiritual then...?
[11:54] {Threei}  [11:36] {Threei} I thought of sharing my feel for the market today, then decided against it... you guys will lock me up in mental insitution if I do
[11:54] {Threei}  [11:37] {Threei} and rightly so
[11:54] {Threei}  [11:37] {Threei} I am actually thinking of going there by my own will
[11:54] {Threei}  [11:39] {Threei} but just in case
[11:54] {Threei}  [11:39] {Threei} WFC is going to break 10 and go to 10.50 and quite possibly closer to 11
[11:54] {geo} :)
[11:55] {Threei}  glad I skipped USB in this case... doesn't perform as well as WFC
[11:56] {Threei}  oh boy... look at this:
[11:56] {Threei}  (US) US AGRICULTURE SEC VILSACK: WOULD LOVE TO SEE ETHANOL BLEND RATE RISE TO 15%, BUT CONCEEDS THAT FOCUS SHOULD BE ON 12-13% AT THIS POINT
[11:56] {Threei}  say what??
[11:56] {Threei}  an normal person that is based in reality would want ethanol blend rate go to zero
[11:57] {Threei}  (US) PRESIDENT OBAMA: PLEDGES TO DEVELOP STRICT GUIDELINES FOR CARRYING OUT RESEARCH ON EMBRYONIC STEM CELLS
[11:57] {Threei}  - Note that these comments come as President Obama officially issues an executive order lifting the eight-year ban on embryonic stem cell research.
[11:59] {cosmo} so ...stem cells will be used to make ethanol...
[11:59] {cosmo} nah
[12:00] {Threei}  GERN is pos
[12:00] {Threei}  spiked at the beginning of the speech, dropped right back
[12:02] {Threei}  trailing stop to .15 now for the last portion
[12:02] {Threei}  and offering it .75
[12:03] {magoo} .7499 here
[12:03] {Threei}  sigh
[12:07] {Threei}  do we dare to short GERN on .60 break?
[12:09] {Threei}  feels to me like panic will take it back to 4
[12:12] {Threei}  short half lot into this bounce
[12:12] {Threei}  stop above .70
[12:14] {nemo} RIMM bounced
[12:15] {Threei}  WFC is on its merry way
[12:15] {magoo} beeeeeaauuuuty boss
[12:15] {Threei}  eeck
[12:16] {magoo} u have not responded well to the nicer magoo last few sessions
[12:17] {Threei}  that's because "nice magoo: is:
[12:17] {Threei}  a) oxymoron
[12:17] {Threei}  b) makes me very uncomfortable
[12:17] {Threei}  GERN stop to .65
[12:18] {Threei}  don't want to run into higher low scenario
[12:18] {Threei}  WFC stop to .25
[12:19] {Threei}  oh mags... and c) you still haven't watched Fallen
[12:19] {nemo} Yes azazel
[12:20] {magoo} how u know?
[12:20] {Threei}  you would have said someting if you di... :)
[12:21] {Threei}  stop to above .60 GERN
[12:21] {Threei}  keeping risk to a minimum
[12:22] {Threei}  out -.05
[12:36] {geo} .
[12:39] {geo} ..
[12:39] {Threei}  who do you think will be sweeping this litter?
[12:39] {Threei}  done with last portion WFC
[12:41] {Threei}  +.37, .49 and .24
[12:48] {dino}  gj
[12:52] {pita} catch you later....
[12:52] {Threei}  take care pita
[12:52] {Threei}  if market breaks down,
[12:53] {Threei} Short Setup: CAT  24.50 break if stays under .60
[12:57] {Threei}  hesitance... still no market break
[12:57] {dptl} are you in cat?
[12:57] {Threei}  not yet
[12:58] {dptl} hmm i am in .49
[12:58] {geo} darn
[12:58] {geo} with ya dp
[12:58] {Threei}  kind of discretionary situation
[12:58] {nemo} well, at least you're in the foxhole together
[12:58] {Threei}  CAT broke, market didn't
[13:00] {Threei}  looks better now
06[13:00] * geo knew it all along
[13:00] {Threei}  let's be anal-retentive and trail stop to .56
[13:01] {geo} wo
[13:01] {nemo} CAT is holding through this drop
[13:02] {Threei}  that's why I want to keep stop just above the high of last bounce
[13:03] {Threei}  7 cents stop is a good protection against salmon
[13:05] {Threei}  1:1
[13:06] {dptl} out .37 ty
[13:06] {Threei}  welcome
[13:07] {magoo} thasrts all u after cat?
[13:07] {Threei}  hmm?
[13:07] {Threei}  where is my decoder ring
[13:08] {geo} half out .33
[13:08] {geo} TY lord vader
[13:08] {Threei}  welcome sir
[13:08] {fernp} out. ty Mr Graifer
[13:08] {Threei}  :)
[13:09] {Threei}  1:2
[13:09] {magoo} is that all?
[13:09] {Threei}  for me yes
[13:10] {geo} 2Okeeping 1/4 to ride it
[13:10] {magoo} mkt lows
[13:11] {jmb} Thanks Vad
[13:11] {Threei}  jmb :)
[13:11] {geo} i think we should have a 3 character nickname rule....... just to see what people come up with
[13:12] {geo} ok 4
[13:12] {Threei}  1:3 for the most patient types
[13:12] {geo} out thanks
[13:13] {geo} all out .29 cents
[13:13] {magoo} out .20 TY
[13:13] {Threei}  market hates life
[13:13] {cujo} trailed stop very tight
[13:13] {cujo} but still in
[13:14] {Threei}  where is the stop now cujo?
[13:14] {cujo} .23
[13:14] {Threei}  that beats my definition of anal-retentive
[13:14] {cujo} he he
[13:14] {Threei}  :)
[13:16] {Threei}  CAT behaved nicely on breakdown... gave second chance, nefer jeopardized even ridiculously tightly trailed stop
[13:16] {cujo} out =.32
[13:16] {cujo} +
[13:16] {cujo} thanks Vad
[13:16] {Threei}  wtg
[13:17] {Threei}  IMF WILL REPORTEDLY DISCLOSE WORLD TRADE CONTRACTION OF 5% OR MORE AHEAD OF G20 - UNCONFIRMED REPORT
[13:17] {Threei}  with 50 cents WFC and 20-30 cents CAT life becomes brighter
[13:19] {magoo} wfc here vad long?
[13:19] {Threei}  can't tell
[13:22] {Threei}  I don't like volume on these upticks
[13:22] {Threei}  pretty anemic... need more convincing before going long
[13:25] {geo} nice tell vad
[13:31] {Threei}  no buzz from high above about m2m whatsoever
[13:31] {Threei}  could' be a sign of not being seriously considered
[13:32] {Threei}  or at least that's how market takes it
[13:32] {Threei}  WHITE HOUSE ECONOMIC ADVISOR: CONSUMERS ARE "HUNKERED DOWN" GIVEN FALLING LEVELS OF WEATH
[13:33] {cujo} http://www.nj.com/hobokennow/index.ssf/2009/03/bergin_cancel_hobokens_st_patr.html
[13:34] {cujo} any NJ people out there?
[13:39] {Threei}  they are all out lobbying for the parade cujo
[13:39] {cujo} :)
[13:42] {nemo} gold taking a pounding again
[13:43] {Threei}  915?
[13:44] {nemo} give or take
[13:46] {Threei}  WHITE HOUSE PRES SEC GIBBS: CONFIRMS BERNANKE, AMONG OTHERS, BRIEFED OBAMA ON ECONOMY TODAY
[13:46] {Threei}  I feel relief
[13:47] {Threei}  president is briefed, all is well again
[13:48] {nemo} WFC inching up to resistance?
[13:49] {Threei}  starts looking a bit firmer, yeah
[13:49] {Threei}  if market starts upticking, will be worth a play
[13:50] {nemo} SOB
[13:50] {Threei}  let it pull back
[13:50] {nemo} yeah, not much for running into booby traps
[13:50] {nemo} cat too
[13:51] {nemo} lunch-time skirmishes?
[13:53] {Threei}  should pull back now
[13:54] {Threei}  I'd like .15 - .18 area at least
[13:54] {nemo} And if it doesn't pull back long on market strength,although, arket isn't wakineing all that uch
[13:55] {nemo} market    weakening    much
[13:55] {Threei}  got .16
[13:55] {cujo} what stock Vad?
[13:55] {Threei}  WFC
[13:56] {cujo} ah, thought we were still looking at the kitty
[13:56] {Threei}  [13:48] {nemo} WFC inching up to resistance?
[13:56] {Threei}  [13:49] {Threei} starts looking a bit firmer, yeah
[13:56] {Threei}  [13:49] {Threei} if market starts upticking, will be worth a play
[13:59] {Threei}  not very enthusiastic
[13:59] {geo} stop vad?
[13:59] {cujo} anyone ever thought of getting a band together and just write songs about day trading?  Could call it Bollinger Band...  Ha ha ha
[13:59] {Threei}  stop .09
[14:01] {Threei}  out .26
[14:02] {Threei}  maybe too soon, but market starts this pattern of sudden spikes and drops
[14:02] {jmb} Thanks Vad
[14:02] {Threei}  welcome
[14:03] {Threei}  wow
[14:03] {Threei}  geo?
[14:04] {geo} out .34... was in fro .18
[14:04] {geo} TY vad
[14:04] {Threei}  :)
[14:05] {geo} seems has more juice
[14:09] {magoo} next leg up coming
[14:10] {Threei}  you mean market or WFC?
[14:10] {magoo} me thinx mkt
[14:14] {magoo} sheesh
[14:14] {Threei}  WFC doesn't frop with market
[14:15] {Threei}  drop
[14:15] {nemo} I was just going to say that
[14:15] {nemo} oops
[14:16] {Threei}  want pullback into .25 zone, or .43 long if market bounces strongly
[14:16] {nemo} CAT?
[14:17] {Threei}  CAT .50 break if stays above .40
[14:19] {Threei}  watch SPY for timing help with WFC
[14:20] {Threei}  not too clear still
[14:21] {Threei}  ok, in
[14:21] {Threei}  .27
[14:21] {Threei}  stop under .20
[14:22] {Threei}  out
[14:22] {geo} sigh
[14:22] {Threei}  SPY fell through the floor
[14:22] {geo} wierd spike
[14:22] {magoo} yea..thats what so frustrating
[14:22] {magoo} no power up for years now
[14:23] {Threei}  [14:02] {Threei} market starts this pattern of sudden spikes and drops
[14:23] {Threei}  huh?
[14:23] {dptl} yeah...gonna stay away
[14:23] {Threei}  you driniking already mags?
[14:23] {nemo} remember, for mags it's dog years
[14:38] {geo} amzn has been in a pretty tight range
[14:38] {Threei}  F
[14:38] {Threei}  WSJ: UNION HAS APPROVED CERTAIN COST CUTTING MEASURES IN CONTRACT
[14:44] {nemo} Oil continues to climb...wonder if that will become a counter weight on the market if there are no positve economic signs
[14:47] {cujo} i think it can only hurt the economy if oil goes up. 
[14:47] {cujo} no?
[14:48] {nemo} weigh on the market was my question?
[14:48] {cujo} oh sorry, when you said counter weight i thought you meant like something positive in a negative market
[14:50] {magoo} .
[14:50] {nemo} bad english, sorry
[14:52] {Threei}  IBM CHAIRMAN RELEASES LETTER TO SHAREHOLDERS; CONFIDENT IN 2009 AND AHEAD OF PACE OF 2010 OBECTIVE AT $10-11/SHR
[15:01] {magoo} read RIMM vad?
[15:02] {Threei}  totally market dependent
[15:02] {magoo} read mkt vad? he he
[15:02] {Threei}  lol
[15:03] {geo} i gotta say it guys..... watching the market tires me.... i dunno if i can do this for long.... i miss swing trading
[15:04] {Threei}  problem with that is:
06[15:04] * geo cringes...... but realizes vad cant trout
[15:04] {Threei}  if you are not watching it, you WILL miss the moment when market changes
[15:04] {geo} sigh... thats why i crawled back here
[15:05] {geo} scalping just has higher probability
[15:05] {Threei}  because it will change when enough people give up and walk away
[15:05] {Threei}  for now, yes
[15:05] {Threei}  market drops mags
[15:05] {Threei}  maybe RIMM is worth trying short on .50 break
[15:06] {geo} missed
[15:06] {geo} isnt this a spike down for rimm vad?
[15:06] {geo} instead of the gentle drift you prefer?
[15:07] {Threei}  about 10 cents, yeah
[15:07] {Threei}  market went down abruptly, so did RIMM
[15:07] {geo} ok
[15:07] {Threei}  .65 resistance
[15:08] {Threei}  thing just dropped and broke right when I typed
[15:11] {Threei}  stop to .61
[15:11] {nemo} what I miss
[15:12] {Threei}  RIMM short?
[15:12] {nemo} Magooing it produced
[15:14] {Threei}  1:1
[15:14] {Threei}  if parytialling, stop to .51
[15:16] {Threei}  WFC becomes interesting here
[15:16] {Threei}  RIMM 1:2
[15:16] {geo} sigh... doom and gloom
[15:17] {Threei}  out +.30
[15:17] {Threei}  so why sigh?
[15:17] {Threei}  isn't it tradeable?
[15:17] {geo} dunno general societal impact i guess?
[15:17] {nemo} ahhhh universal love
06[15:18] * geo is an empathetic creature
[15:18] {nemo} cat got a long way to fall too
[15:20] {dino} 6469, 1043, 666 fri. lows
[15:23] {Threei}  I think I need to write a blog article on bear markets
[15:23] {Threei}  what their role is, why we need them, how to perceive them
[15:23] {Threei}  this negativity you guys project has no place
[15:23] {Threei}  in trader's mind
[15:24] {geo} a disciplined investor who put $100 into the Vanguard S&P-500 fund every month for the past twenty years, now has a negative return on his entire investment (including dividends).
[15:25] {geo} the guys above must not be happy
[15:25] {Threei}  no
[15:25] {geo} thats all I am saying
[15:25] {Threei}  so, being a trader and actually making money in this market, where does the negatvity come from?
[15:25] {geo} i moved to treasury bills last spring.... just feeling bad for friends who didnt
[15:26] {dino} hmmmmmmmmmmm
[15:26] {Threei}  of course this market is a killer for investors
[15:26] {Threei}  and considering how the system is structured, I can't even say it's their own fault
[15:26] {dino} 3:40 bounce?
[15:26] {geo} yeah thats what my issue is
[15:27] {Threei}  well... as long as it's directed at what this whole debacle does to investors through no faulty of most of them
[15:27] {nemo} Well depends on what the NDX and S&P do when they double bottom here, Dino
[15:27] {geo} no one liable amazes me.... they have disintegrated peoples life savings
[15:27] {dino} did about 150 fri.....just thinking out load
[15:27] {nemo} Beautiful crime
[15:27] {Threei}  doesn't feel like that today dino
[15:27] {Threei}  but then again. neither did Friday
[15:28] {nemo} see that spike in SPY?
[15:28] {dino} i'm w/you geo, the heads of the companies are still getting millions in pay/bonuses
[15:28] {geo} all these "licensed" people.... highly paid.....  lost fiduciary money
[15:28] {nemo} an in NDX
[15:28] {Threei}  licensed fnancial advisors with nice certificates on the wall... never made a dime in the market
[15:29] {geo} i know this IB guy....  has lost everyone's pensions
[15:29] {nemo} what's IB?
[15:29] {geo} the only time i saw him panic is when he got calls from people withdrawing money
[15:29] {geo} investment bank
[15:29] {nemo} oh
[15:29] {geo} he was loosing his cut on AUM (assets under management)
[15:30] {Threei}  can you say conflict of interest
[15:30] {geo} up
[15:30] {geo} yup
[15:30] {geo} he still lives in bentwood and small busness owners lost their life savings
[15:30] {Threei}  I don't know about this little spike...
[15:30] {geo} anyway......
[15:31] {nemo} no doesn't feel thick
[15:31] {Threei}  just as it happened on Friday, no way to tell whether it's a begijnning of more sustainable move or just a little bounce before new wave of selling
[15:32] {nemo} Friday made some sense for short covering...without getting in to that whole discussion again...hell, it's only Monday, why cover
[15:33] {wulff} took aapl long small @83
[15:33] {nemo} RIMM just absorbe alot of selling in a relatively confined range
[15:33] {nemo} that can't be good
[15:34] {nemo} I lied....CAT
[15:37] {Threei}  my bet is, those who bet on Fri eod repetition will be smacked down
[15:38] {nemo} most of last week was just quiet closes
[15:38] {nemo} That is, if I'm remembering correctly
[15:38] {Threei}  today feels like that
[15:38] {Threei}  I doubt we will see dramatic selloff
[15:38] {nemo} yeah
[15:39] {nemo} we'll know in two minutes, right Dino....
[15:41] {geo} nice spike SU
[15:45] {Threei}  BAC, WFC, USB being solidly in green is something to to watch
[15:45] {Threei}  not sure what it points to but the strength is remarkable for these dogs
[15:45] {Threei}  with fleas
[15:48] {dptl} ok...
[15:48] {dptl} have a good evening all
[15:48] {Threei}  take care dp
[15:48] {dino} cyadp
[15:49] {Threei}  DJI finishes around -100
[15:49] {Threei}  can we say that under the new paradigm it's a good day?
[15:49] {nemo} Yeah, like a leper saying he only lost a toe today
[15:49] {Threei}  eqzaktly
[15:50] {Threei}  -300 becomes so customary
[15:50] {nemo} Or the "merely a flesh wound" quote from Monty Python
[15:50] {Threei}  people actually start calculating how many days it would take DJI to go to zero at this rate
[15:50] {Threei}  and guess what... they don't have to count too far :)
[15:50] {nemo} Yeah, FOX news did that Friday
[15:51] {Threei}  well... spring is coiling
[15:51] {wulff} this will become easy...someday
[15:51] {Threei}  accumulates potential energy
[15:51] {nemo} Yeah, just in time for you to go on vacation in the Bahamas :)
[15:51] {Threei}  awww
[15:52] {Threei}  hope superrally will wait for me
[15:52] {nemo} Do that Darth Vadim stuff
[15:52] {nemo} Vadym
[15:52] {Threei}  BAC actually finishes at high
[15:53] {nemo} WFC is about 3/4 of the way also
[15:55] {nemo} Dow clawing back
[15:55] {Threei}  just as we thought
[15:55] {Threei}  no rally, no drop
[15:55] {nemo} You told me not to think
[15:56] {Threei}  true
[15:56] {Threei}  sorry
[15:56] {nemo} You're confusing me
[15:56] {dino} feeling this bear ends in a whimper
[15:56] {Threei}  quite impressive buying BAC
[15:57] {Threei}  unless some horrific development triggers panic selling, I don't feel capitulatory selloff coming either, dino
[15:58] {Threei}  okay guys, decent day with three nice size wins
[15:59] {Threei}  let';s see if we can keep this up through the whole week
[15:59] {Threei}  gambling types can take BAC home
[15:59] {Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
[16:00] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[16:00] {fernp} see you tomorrow
[16:00] {vint} good evening all, see you all tomorrow